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A Week of No Surprises from Central Banks

This week, the focus on investors was on central banks and the Alabama senate race. On Tuesday, the people of Alabama went to elect their new senator. The race was between Doug Jones, a democrat, and Roy Moore, a republican. Polls indicated a tight race with Roy Moore being the favorite to win. At the […]

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/NZD for December 15, 2017

Wave summary: EUR/NZD spiked higher to 1.6965 before tuning lower again. The failure to sustain the break above 1.6955 calls for more downside pressure towards 1.6720 before a low likely is in place. Short-term minor resistance is seen at 1.6873 and a break above here will be the first warning that a low has been […]

Elliott wave analysis of EUR/JPY for December 15, 2017

Wave summary: EUR/JPY has broken below support at 132.81 as expected and should now continue to move lower towards important support seen at 131.14. This support still needs to be broken to confirm that wave (D) indeed completed with the test of 134.50 and wave (E) lower is developing for a decline towards the ideal […]

Fundamental Analysis of NZD/USD for December 15, 2017

NZD/USD is currently residing inside the resistance area of 0.6980 to 0.7050 after an impulsive bullish pressure off the 0.68 support area. Despite the federal funds rate increase to 1.50% from 1.25%, the market shaped the opposite sentiment that has led to a further gain on the NZD side recently. Today, New Zealand’s Business Manufacturing […]

Dec 15th, 2017: Euro Struggles on Inflation Concerns

Morning Report: 07.00 London The Euro remains subdued this morning after heavy selling yesterday. The ECB maintained a positive economic outlook, but expressed on concerns over inflation increasing below target. The EUR/GBP slumped yesterday, with the EUR/USD reversing half of Wednesday’s gains. With the exception of the euro, dollar pairs are performing well again this […]

15.12.2017 – Trading Signals by Dukascopy

Hello, traders, you’re watching the Primary Daily Trading Signals for Friday. Euro/Dollar sees consistent results across the table, as it has exactly 5 neutral studies in the short, mid and long-term, and they indeed are in line with the less than 8% long interbank. The Cable also has neutral signals prevailing in all three time […]

Daily analysis of major pairs for December 15, 2017

EUR/USD: The EUR/USD pair rose upwards on Wednesday and came down on Thursday. That action has put some emphasis on the bearish bias, which would not be overridden, until the resistance line at 1.1900 is breached to the upside (and that will require a heavy buying pressure). USD/CHF: The USD/CHF pair generated a short-term “sell” […]

15.12.2017 – Support and Resistance by Dukascopy

It’s time for this week’s last Support and Resistance Level Report. Here’s how our in-house model tests out. Euro/Dollar has lost some ground and now stands between R1 of 1 18 and S1 of 1 1760. R1 counts a 100 day moving average among its 10 models, and a 20 day moving average is among […]

Central Banks Monetary Policy Unchanged

Thursday saw the latest Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) report from the Bank of England. The BoE stated that “further modest increases” in interest rates are probable, as the Bank tries to bring inflation in line with its 2% target in the coming years. The MPC appeared to be unconcerned with inflation rising to 3.1% last […]

AUD/USD: Potential Scenarios After This Week’s Rally

This week, the AUD/USD pair has headed upwards, breaching the support levels at 0.7550, 0.7593, and 0.7634, and reached a monthly high of 0.7678. The upward momentum is attributed to the positive economic data from Australia as well as the overall dollar weakness following Fed’s decision on Wednesday. On Tuesday, the Australia’s NAB Business confidence […]

Technical analysis of EUR/USD for Dec 15, 2017

When the European market opens, some economic data will be released such as Trade Balance. In the US a batch of economic data in due later today such as TIC Long-Term Purchases, Industrial Production m/m, Capacity Utilization Rate, and Empire State Manufacturing Index. So amid the reports, EUR/USD will move with low to medium volatility […]

Technical analysis of USD/JPY for Dec 15, 2017

In Asia, Japan will release the Tankan Non-Manufacturing Index and Tankan Manufacturing Index. On the US dollar’s front, the US will release a series of economic data such as TIC Long-Term Purchases, Industrial Production m/m, Capacity Utilization Rate, and Empire State Manufacturing Index. So there is a probability the USD/JPY pair will move with low […]

Markets see no reason to worry

Following the meeting on December 12-13, the AHC Committee on Open Markets (FOMC) hiked, as expected, the federal funds rate by 0.25%, while keeping the forecast for 2018 unchanged. The moderate tone of the accompanying statement led to the fact that players preferred to lock in profits. At a subsequent press conference, Janet Yellen also […]

BITCOIN Analysis for December 14, 2017

BITCOIN has been quite corrective as expected today and the deepest pullback was down to the $15,500 price area. The market focus seemed to have shifted from Bitcoin to Ethereum as the price of Ethereum has been quite impulsive with the gains recently. The sentiment change means that the price of Bitcoin residing currently was […]

Fundamental Analysis of USDCHF for December 14, 2017

USD/CHF has been quite volatile recently having impulsive bearish and bullish daily candles. Recently, the Fed Funds Rate report was published, despite the increase in the rate to 1.50% from the previous value of 1.25 as expected, USD lost significant grounds against CHF, which is currently recovering. Today the Libor Rate report was published: it […]

14.12.2017 – Movers and Shakers by Dukascopy

Let’s find out if central banks have shaken up the FX Markets on this Thursday, 14th of December. Ozzy Dollar jumped against the Kiwi Dollar shortly after midnight and the pair stands point 78% in the green, which is the day’s top move. A positive employment change report has provided a boost for the Australian […]

BoE Base Rate Announcement Review

On Wednesday, we listened to Janet Yellen’s final statement as the Fed chair. To many, it was an emotional farewell for a chair who has performed extremely well. Under her tenure, she has brought the unemployment rate to 4.1% – the lowest point in 17 years – and tamed inflation which remains below 2%. She […]

15.12.2017 – Economic Calendar by Dukascopy

The news flow gets light as the trading week comes to an end, but some releases are still worth a closer look. Euro Zone Trade Balance for October is up first at 10 AM, and trade surplus widened in September as exports outpaced the imports. Bank of England will release its Quarterly Bulletin at noon […]

Technical analysis of USD/CHF for December 14, 2017

Overview: Pivot point : 0.9921. The USD/CHF pair didn’t make any significant movements for that the price is still moving around the area of 0.9806 and 0.9921. Besides, it should be noted that the bias remains bullish in the nearest term testing 1.0037 or higher. The USD/CHF pair continues to move upwards from the level […]